This week, huge news broke surrounding the potential banning of crypto currency mining in China, after the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), the country’s chief planning regulator, published a paper with a proposal to ban Bitcoin mining.
The report went on to say it has “seriously wasted resources” and appears to be the culmination of various actions of the government that has held a skeptical eye towards the mining industry since late last year.
That being said, the news has still come as a surprise. Many have been left scratching their heads and wondering what will happen to the industry so dominated by the Chinese companies.
The good news is that not a lot is going to happen in the short term. According to Chen Lei , secretary-general of the blockchain club of Peking University and a mine owner, told ODaily:
“There is a process for the draft of the consultation draft to go to the implementation stage and the implementation phase. The period of industrial elimination is also longer, at least three years.”
The short term seems to be bearable for now, yet this proposed move will have much more negative ramifications in the long term. The listing of the mining industry under elimination means the industry will be moved out. An anonymous miner summed it up, saying:
“the elimination class is very clear, that is, it will make you unable to survive.”
However, despite the bleak outlook from some, other more optimistic voices in China have looked to calm many nerves by claiming that local governments will have a greater say on this matter than the national one and perhaps the mining may be able to continue.
Unfortunately, it does seem that crypto industries are fighting a losing battle in China for acceptance. Li Risheng, CEO of Minebank, a computing power asset allocation platform, believes that mines are difficult to comply with the Government’s expectations and regulations:
“If you want to comply with the regulations, you must have the “national team” such as the government and central enterprises to do this (that is, most people may not have to play). Because using RMB to invest in mining, you can exchange it for Bitcoin and convert it into US dollars. For the anti-US policy risk, it is undoubtedly a strategic reserve, just like the missile, oil and other industries. If it rises to this level, it must be placed in the hands of the state.”
Either way the news does not look good for miners in China. Yet, some have claimed that this may play into the hands of the bigger organisations. Some sources have said the document is likely to block new entrants, and miners with government resources will become vested interests as long as they maintain good relationships. By then, with some miners being banned and newcomers unable to enter the market, the miners who are still able to stay in the network are expected to increase their revenue. And, compared to miners elsewhere, they get cheap, large-scale and more reliable electricity.
This news has certainly created many opinions and we will have to wait and see what the outcome will be. Where will be the new home of mining, should the ban come to place? What effect will this have on the industry? Let us know in the comments.